Identification and validation of a necroptosis-related gene prognostic signature for colon adenocarcinoma
Highlight box
Key findings
• In this study, a novel colon adenocarcinoma (COAD) prognosis prediction signature containing 8 necroptosis-related genes (RIPK3, MLKL, TRAF2, CXCL1, RBCK1, CDKN2A, JMJD7-PLA2G4B and CAMK2B) was constructed.
What is known and what is new?
• Necroptosis is a novel form of cell death, which is closely associated with tumor development.
• The prognostic signature constructed by necroptosis-related genes showed a good predictability in COAD. Furthermore, the necroptosis-related genes were closely related to tumor immunity and 10 potential immune checkpoints for COAD were proposed.
What is the implication, and what should change now?
• The prognostic signature could be used as a useful tool for clinicians to judge the prognosis of patients and develop new therapeutic targets for COAD.
Introduction
Colon adenocarcinoma (COAD) is a common digestive tract cancer representing 6% of all cancer cases, with approximately 1 million cases each year (1,2). Due to its insidious onset, the optimal treatment timing is often missed, resulting in high mortality (3). In addition, epidemiological investigations have found that COAD incidence gradually becomes younger (4-6). The incidence of COAD seems to be related to genetics, diet, and inflammation, but the specific mechanism is not well explored (7,8). Although progress has been made in the clinical treatment of COAD with the development of therapies in recent years, the 5-year recurrence rate remains high (9). Therefore, finding newer cancer biomarkers and potential therapeutic targets of COAD are warranted.
Necroptosis is a novel programmed cell death pathway proposed in 2005 (10). Unlike the traditional form of apoptosis, necroptosis is mainly activated by the tumor necrosis factor (TNF) family and mediates cellular disassembly via receptor interacting serine/threonine kinase 1 (RIPK1), receptor interacting serine/threonine kinase 3 (RIPK3) and mixed lineage kinase domain like pseudokinase (MLKL) (11). Necroptosis influences the progression of many diseases, including myocardial, cerebral ischemia, and acute kidney injury (12-14). Since necroptosis does not affect the programmed cell death when apoptosis gets inhibited, it has attracted extensive attention. However, necroptosis has dual attributes of promoting the development and progression of tumors. Shikonin, a natural compound derived from the dried root of Lithospermum erythrorhizon, has shown promising anti-tumor activity. It effectively inhibited the progression and metastasis of various tumors by inducing the necroptosis pathways (15-17). In addition, some chemotherapeutics inhibited tumor growth by activating the necroptosis pathways (18). However, Seifert et al. showed that necroptosis promoted the occurrence of pancreatic cancer (19). Liu et al. found that the application of necroptosis inhibitor (necrosulfonamide) significantly inhibited the proliferation of breast cancer (20). Thus, the regulation of necroptosis-related genes (NRGs) has the potential to be the key to cancer therapy.
Additionally, necroptosis is involved in the microenvironmental immune responses as immunogenic cell death. Necroptotic tumor cells activate the immune system and promote the activation of dendritic cells (DCs). This process is controlled by the nuclear factor kappa-B (NF-κB) pathway and damage-associated molecular patterns (DAMPs) (21,22). Therefore, necroptosis combined with immunotherapy is a novel therapeutic method in cancer. Several studies have confirmed that NRGs influence the prognosis of liver, breast and colon cancer (23-25). In this study, we focused on the NRGs as an independent prognostic indicator to explore their relationship with COAD prognosis and constructed a prognostic signature containing 8 NRGs. In addition, we attempted to find differences in immunological characteristics and proposed a potential immunotherapeutic target based on the obtained signature. We present this article in accordance with the TRIPOD reporting checklist (available at https://tcr.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/tcr-23-494/rc).
Methods
Data collection and processing
The flow chart for this study is shown in Figure 1. The sequencing and clinical data of COAD patients were downloaded from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database (https://portal.gdc.cancer.gov/) and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database (https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/geo/). To improve the accuracy of this study, we excluded samples having incomplete clinical information (age, gender, tumor stage, survival status) and selected sequencing data from primary solid tumors. To increase the reliability of the results, we excluded ineffective cases (follow-up days <30). Finally, we selected the relevant data of 38 normal and 417 COAD samples from the TCGA database (Table 1). Raw count values of RNA-sequencing (RNA-seq) data were used for screening differentially expressed genes, and fragments per kilo base of transcript per million mapped fragments (FPKM) values [converted to transcripts per million (TPM) values] were used for other studies. In addition, we selected 556 COAD samples in the GSE39582 dataset (Table 2). The standard PRISMA flow diagram of the screened samples is shown in Figure S1. The RNA-seq values in GSE39582 were normalized by the RMA algorithm. This study adhered to the publication standards of TCGA and GEO databases. The study was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki (as revised in 2013). No ethics committee approval was required.
Table 1
Items | Patients (n=417), n (%) |
---|---|
Age (years) | |
<65 | 161 (38.6) |
≥65 | 256 (61.4) |
Gender | |
Male | 224 (53.7) |
Female | 193 (46.3) |
Tumor stage | |
Stage I | 75 (18.0) |
Stage II | 164 (39.3) |
Stage III | 121 (29.0) |
Stage IV | 57 (13.7) |
Survival status | |
Alive | 329 (78.9) |
Dead | 88 (21.1) |
TCGA, The Cancer Genome Atlas; COAD, colon adenocarcinoma; N, numbers.
Table 2
Items | Patients (n=556), n (%) |
---|---|
Age (years) | |
<65 | 212 (38.1) |
≥65 | 344 (61.9) |
Gender | |
Male | 307 (55.2) |
Female | 249 (44.8) |
Tumor stage | |
Stage I | 36 (6.5) |
Stage II | 258 (46.4) |
Stage III | 203 (36.5) |
Stage IV | 59 (10.6) |
Survival status | |
Alive | 369 (66.4) |
Dead | 187 (33.6) |
N, numbers.
Identification of differentially expressed NRGs (DENRGs)
We obtained 161 NRGs by reviewing the literature and the necroptosis-related Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) pathway maps (table available at https://cdn.amegroups.cn/static/public/tcr-23-494-1.pdf). Next, the DENRGs between normal and COAD samples were downloaded from TCGA as screened by R software [false discovery rate (FDR) <0.05]. The hazard ratios (HRs) were used to evaluate the property of the DENRGs (protective or risk).
Construction and validation of the NRG signature
The prognosis-related DENRGs were identified by univariate Cox regression analysis, and a protein-protein interaction (PPI) network was constructed by STRING. Next, a NRG signature was constructed by Lasso-penalized Cox regression analysis:
Then TCGA-COAD and GSE39582 datasets were selected to evaluate the reliability of this signature. Next, patients were divided into low- and high-risk groups based on the median value of their risk score, and the distribution of each group was visualized by principal component analysis (PCA). Finally, Kaplan-Meier analysis and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to evaluate the predictability of the signature.
Clinical prognostic analysis
We explored the clinical relevance of signature by rank-sum test. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to assess the independent predictive ability of the signature. In addition, we constructed a nomogram to improve individualized prediction ability. The immunohistochemistry images were obtained from the human protein atlas (HPA) database (https://www.proteinatlas.org/).
Genetic mutation, Gene Ontology (GO), KEGG, and gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA)
The data of simple nucleotide variation (SNV) and copy number variation (CNV) of COAD patients were downloaded from the TCGA database. KOBAS-i was used to analyze the GO and KEGG of the genes in the signature. The analysis results were visualized by R software. GSEA was used to find differentially enriched pathways in low- and high-groups [P<0.05, FDR <0.25, |normalized enrichment score (NES)| >1].
Immunological analysis
Immunological characters (immune cells and immunological functions) were assessed between two groups using the single sample GSEA (ssGSEA) algorithm (26). Further, we predicted the potential immune-checkpoints.
Statistical analysis
Overall survival (OS) differences between the two groups were analyzed using the log-rank test. In addition, the ssGSEA scores were compared with the Mann-Whitney test. Data analyses were conducted with packages within R (version 4.0.4). The P<0.05 was the significance threshold.
Results
Identification of prognosis-related NRGs
We extracted 161 NRGs from 455 samples (38 normal and 417 COAD tissues) in the TCGA database and screened 118 DENRGs (table available at https://cdn.amegroups.cn/static/public/tcr-23-494-2.pdf). Then, 11 prognosis-related DENRGs were screened by univariate Cox regression analysis and showed in dendrogram (Figure 2A). RIPK3, CXCL1 and ALDH2 were the protective genes (HR <1), while others were the risk genes (HR >1). The heat map showed the expression of 11 prognosis-related DENRGs in normal and tumor tissues (Figure 2B). Similar to the dendrogram, RIPK3, CXCL1 and ALDH2 were highly expressed in normal tissues. The PPI network showed that RIPK3 and MLKL, which were strongly corrected with other genes, were the hub genes (Figure 2C). In addition, we performed an analysis for the correlation of these genes (Figure 2D).
Construction of the NRG prognostic signature
The 11 prognosis-related DENRGs were then subjected to an OS-based Lasso-penalized Cox regression analysis (Figure 3A). When 8 NRGs were gathered, the regression model reached the optimal ability (Figure 3B). To quantify the signature: risk score = (ExpTRAF2 × 0.0086) + (ExpRBCK1 × 0.0020) + (ExpMLKL × 0.0302) − (ExpRIPK3 × 0.0394) + (ExpCAMK2B × 0.3044) + (ExpJMJD7-PLA2G4B × 0.1854) + (ExpCDKN2A × 0.0077) − (ExpCXCL1 × 0.0006). Next, the patients in TCGA-COAD were divided into low- and high-risk groups (table available at https://cdn.amegroups.cn/static/public/tcr-23-494-3.pdf). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that patients in the high-risk group had significantly worse OS than the low-risk group (Figure 3C). Finally, the ROC curve was constructed to evaluate the 3-year prediction ability of the signature, and the area under the curve (AUC) value (0.717) indicated that the signature had good predictability (Figure 3D). The risk scores, survival status and NRGs expression of both groups were plotted by scatter plot and heat map (Figure 3E). In addition, PCA proved that two groups of patients clustered in different dimensions (Figure 3F,3G).
Validation of the NRG prognostic signature
To verify the stability of the constructed signature, we chose the GSE39582 dataset for testing. Similar to the TCGA-COAD dataset, patients in GSE39582 were divided into low- and high-risk groups (table available at https://cdn.amegroups.cn/static/public/tcr-23-494-4.pdf). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that patients in the high-risk group had significantly worse OS (Figure 4A). The AUC value (0.617) of the ROC curve also indicated the good predictability (Figure 4B). The prognostic classifier analyses (risk scores, survival status and NRGs expression) were shown in Figure 4C. PCA also showed a dimensional difference between the two groups (Figure 4D,4E).
Independent prognostic analysis and construction of nomogram
We investigated the associations between NRGs and clinical characteristics in TCGA-COAD and GSE39582 datasets. First, we used heat map to show their correlation (red represented P<0.05), and found that these NRGs were strongly associated with the tumor stage (Figure 5A). This implied that the signature might be used to assess the tumor progression. Next, we investigated the independence of the signature in predicting patient prognosis. According to univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis in TCGA-COAD and GSE39582 datasets, we found that the age, tumor stage, and risk score could assess COAD patient prognosis independently (P<0.05) (Figure 5B-5E). Finally, since multiple factors influence COAD development, we proposed a nomogram (C-index =0.772) for individualized assessment (Figure 5F). In addition, as predicted, the HPA database had high expression of JMJD7-PLA2G4B, CDKN2A, CAMK2B, and TRAF2 in COAD tissues (Figure 5G).
Genetic mutation and functional enrichment analysis of NRGs
We analyzed the genetic variation landscape of 8 NRGs in the signature. SNVs were detected in 32 of 56 (57.14%) COAD samples, and JMJD7-PLA2G4B had the highest mutation frequency (Figure 6A). In addition, missense mutation and single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP) were the most common variant. C>T was the main SNV class (Figure 6B). For CNV analysis, the copy number of CAMK2B and TRAF2 were amplified, while RBCK1, JMJD7-PLA2G4B, CDKN2A, RIPK3, and MLKL were deleted (Figure 6C). Figure 6D shows the location of CNV variation on the chromosome. Next, we analyzed the biological functions of these genes. The GO analysis indicated that “signal transduction”, “cytosol” and “protein binding” were the main enriched characteristics (Figure 7A). While the KEGG analysis showed that “necroptosis” was the main enriched pathway (Figure 7B).
Gene set enrichment analysis
We analyzed the potential enrichment differences between the two groups by GSEA. We found that “citrate cycle TCA cycle”, “valine leucine and isoleucine degradation”, “peroxisome”, “butanoate metabolism”, “oxidative phosphorylation”, “fatty acid metabolism” and “adipogenesis” were enriched in the low-risk group, while “mitotic spindle” was enriched in the high-risk group (Figure 8).
Immunological characteristics of NRGs
Given the close association between necroptosis and immunity, we analyzed the immunological characteristics of the two groups by ssGSEA. Immune cells [DCs, neutrophils, natural killer (NK) cells, Th2 cells and regulatory T cell (Treg)] and immunological function [antigen presenting cell (APC) co-inhibition and parainflammation] showed significant differences in both two datasets (Figure 9A-9D). Furthermore, we predicted the possible immune checkpoints and obtained 10 potential therapeutic targets (ANGPTL7, BTN1A1, BTNL9, CD276, ICOSLG, NCR3LG1, NECTIN1, PVR, PVRIG and SIRPA) (Figure 9E).
Discussion
COAD is a common gastrointestinal tumor that affects the OS of patients due to its insidious onset and high recurrence rate (3). The prognosis situation of COAD still plagues physicians and patients. Currently, cancer development is mainly categorized by the Tumor Node Metastasis (TNM) system internationally. However, for COAD with high heterogeneity, the traditional TNM system cannot effectively predict the prognosis of these patients. Therefore, it is necessary to propose new biomarkers for an individualized clinical assessment of the prognosis in COAD patients. Necroptosis influences tumor development by modulating the microenvironment and the immune response (27). Several genes have been identified to regulate the necroptosis in COAD (28-30). Oliver Metzig et al. found that 5-fluorouracil induced necroptosis in colorectal cancer at the cellular level (31). However, the association between necroptosis and prognosis has not been reported. Here, we analyzed the NRGs in COAD patients and constructed a prognostic signature for individualized assessment of these patients’ prognosis. Furthermore, we proposed potential immunotherapeutic targets of COAD using immunological analysis.
Necroptosis, mediated by RIPK3 and its substrate MLKL, is the best-characterized form of regulated necrosis. Compared with cell contraction and nuclear fragmentation during apoptosis, necrotic apoptosis shows organelles swelling, cellular membrane rupture, and translucent cytoplasm (32). Extracellular and intracellular signals are capable of inducing cell necroptosis. Among them, TNFR1 is a classical signal transduction pathway mediating cell necroptosis. Moreover, necroptosis is involved in regulating several signaling pathways, including caspase-8-dependent apoptosis, NF-κB-dependent inflammation, and MAP kinase cascade (33). Therefore, necroptosis plays an important role in maintaining the physiological machinery. Furthermore, recent studies have revealed that necroptosis plays a key role in various clinical diseases. Importantly, targeting necroptosis can be a potential therapeutic modality for multiple diseases.
We analyzed the expression of NRGs between normal and COAD samples and found that the majority (118 of 161) of these NRGs had significant expression differences. We identified 11 NRGs associated with OS, including necroptosis key genes RIPK3 and MLKL. These findings suggest that necroptosis plays an important role in the survival status of COAD patients. Further, we searched representative genes by Lasso-penalized Cox regression analysis to improve the interpretability and predictivity of the prognostic signature. Finally, we constructed a prognostic signature containing 8 NRGs. The RIPK3, MLKL, and the other genes, including TRAF2, CXCL1, RBCK1, CDKN2A, JMJD7-PLA2G4B, and CAMK2B, participated in constructing the signature. These genes have been reported in several cancers (34-51), some of which have been confirmed to affect the occurrence of COAD directly or indirectly (Table 3). This observation suggests the correlation and accuracy of the prognostic signature. Moreover, it provides some new targets for the treatment of COAD.
Table 3
NRGs | Mechanism of action and function | Cancer type | References |
---|---|---|---|
RIPK3 | RIPK3 is a key factor that constitutes the necrotic bodies and initiates the necroptosis pathways. The anti-tumor activity of RIPK3 may be related to its mediated TRIM28 phosphorylation | Prostate cancer; lung cancer; colon cancer | (34-39) |
MLKL | As an executioner, MLKL plays an essential role in necroptosis. MLKL is activated by RIPK3 and prompts membrane rupture, which induces necroptosis | Melanoma; colon cancer; lymphoma | (30,40,41) |
TRAF2 | TRAF2 is a suppressor of necroptosis and maintains tissue organ homeostasis | Hepatocarcinoma | (42,43) |
CXCL1 | CXCL1 is critical for pre-metastatic niche formation and metastasis | Colon cancer | (44,45) |
RBCK1 | RBCK1 plays an important role in PKC-dependent cell growth | Renal cancer; breast cancer; colon cancer | (46-48) |
CDKN2A | CDKN2A is a tumor suppressor, which may be mediated by the ILF3-AS1/EZH2/H3K27me3/CDKN2A pathway | Colon cancer | (49) |
JMJD7-PLA2G4B | JMJD7-PLA2G4B promotes the progression of head and neck carcinoma by activating AKT | Head and neck carcinoma | (50) |
CAMK2B | CAMK2B is the core effector molecule in regulating the tumor microenvironment | Renal carcinoma | (51) |
NRGs, necroptosis-related genes; PKC, protein kinase C.
To verify the accuracy of the constructed signature, we selected two independent datasets of TCGA-COAD and GSE39582. PCA showed that patients in two group clusters were separated with different dimensions, confirming the high specificity of the signature. Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated the poor prognosis of patients in the high-risk group. The AUC values in ROC curves were 0.717 (TCGA-COAD) and 0.617 (GSE39582), exhibiting good predictive ability. In addition, we found that the gene expression in the signature was closely related to the tumor stage. This implied its feasibility in assessing the COAD progression. Furthermore, we demonstrated the independence of prognostic features in predicting prognosis in COAD. Overall, the constructed prognostic signature in our study has great clinical application.
Given the heterogeneity of tumorigenesis, a single variable cannot accurately predict a patient’s prognosis. Therefore, we constructed a nomogram containing clinical characteristics (age, gender, and tumor stage) and the risk score to solve this problem. The C-index of the nomogram was 0.772, implying good predictive performance. Thus, this nomogram had great potential for individualized assessment of the COAD patients’ prognosis.
Next, we attempted enrichment analysis for their biological functions. GO analysis showed that the “signal transduction” and “necroptosis related processes” were the main enriched processes. Furthermore, these genes were associated with immune processes, including “thymus development”, “T cell receptor signaling pathway” and “immune response”. KEGG analysis revealed that “necroptosis” was the main enriched pathway. In addition, nucleotide-binding and oligomerization domain (NOD)-like receptor and TNF signaling pathways were also significantly enriched. Of note, these pathways are also involved in the regulation of necroptosis. The TNF pathway is a key initiator of necroptosis (52). While NOD-like receptor signaling pathway can also induce necroptosis (53). KEGG analysis also revealed immune related enrichment (“Fc epsilon RI signaling pathway”, “RIG-I-like receptor signaling pathway”, and “Fc gamma R-mediated phagocytosis”). In addition, we explored the differential enrichment of NRGs between the two groups by GSEA. We found that mitochondrial metabolic pathways were enriched in the low-risk group, implying that disrupting intracellular metabolic pathways may significantly contribute to the poor prognosis. Thus, NRGs in the signature may be the main reason affecting the cellular metabolic pathways.
Necroptosis is critically involved in immune processes (54). Therefore, we assessed differences in immune characteristics between the two groups by ssGSEA. We found that the differences in immune cells were mainly concentrated in the low-risk group. The DCs, neutrophils, NK cells, Th2 cells, and Treg presented apparent differences in both datasets. In addition, immunologic functions showed similar results in the two datasets. These results implied that the poor OS of COAD might be related to the destruction of the immune function, in which the decrease of APC co-inhibition and parainflammation were the main reasons. Acute exposure to DAMPs can prime anti-tumour immunity by activating APC and then destroying tumor cells (55). However, APC co-inhibition reduces this immune response, affecting the OS of patients. In addition, the parainflammation induced by necroptosis can inhibit tumour cell development via maintenance of growth arrest and immune clearance of the senescent cells (56). Immune checkpoints overexpression is one of the causes of tumor progression and is used to treat COAD (57). Snyder et al. showed that combining necroptosis with immune checkpoints could synergistically improve anti-tumor immunity (58). Therefore, we screened possible immune checkpoints to provide novel targets for COAD treatment.
Our study had some limitations. First, the present study was retrospective. Thus, more samples are required in the future to further validate these results. We focus on collecting relevant cases for future clinical treatment and constructing a database for validation. In addition, we will also explore the situation of necroptosis after neoadjuvant chemotherapy and attempt to find new therapeutic targets for COAD. Secondly, this study was based on database analysis. Hence, the further proteomic examination is needed to validate the results in the future. Finally, the potential molecular mechanisms and the selection of therapeutic targets need to be investigated further by combining clinical testing and biological cytology.
Conclusions
In conclusion, we systematically analyzed the relationship of NRGs expression with COAD. As a result, we constructed a prognostic signature containing 8 NRGs and a nomogram with individualized clinical practical value. In addition, we proposed potential therapeutic targets through immunological analysis, which provided the breakthrough for COAD treatment.
Acknowledgments
The authors would like to thank all the reviewers who participated in the review and MJEditor (www.mjeditor.com) for linguistic assistance during the preparation of this manuscript.
Funding: None.
Footnote
Reporting Checklist: The authors have completed the TRIPOD reporting checklist. Available at https://tcr.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/tcr-23-494/rc
Peer Review File: Available at https://tcr.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/tcr-23-494/prf
Conflicts of Interest: All authors have completed the ICMJE uniform disclosure form (available at https://tcr.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/tcr-23-494/coif). The authors have no conflicts of interest to declare.
Ethical Statement: The authors are accountable for all aspects of the work in ensuring that questions related to the accuracy or integrity of any part of the work are appropriately investigated and resolved. The study was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki (as revised in 2013).
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