Establishment and validation of a prognostic scoring model based on disulfidptosis-related long non-coding RNAs in stomach adenocarcinoma
Highlight box
Key findings
• Our study develops a risk score system based on seven disulfidptosis-related long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) to enhance prognosis and treatment guidance for stomach adenocarcinoma.
What is known and what is new?
• Disulfidptosis plays a critical role in tumor development.
• Our research extends this by employing disulfidptosis-related lncRNAs to accurately predict stomach adenocarcinoma outcomes.
What is the implication, and what should change now?
• This risk score system introduces a novel approach for stomach adenocarcinoma treatment, highlighting the need for further research on these lncRNAs to improve patient care.
Introduction
Stomach cancer is prevalent worldwide, with a higher incidence reported in Eastern Asia and Europe (1). Stomach adenocarcinoma (STAD), a common type of gastric cancer, is associated with age, dietary structure and Helicobacter pylori infection (2). Surgical resection is the preferred treatment for patients with early STAD, whereas a combination of chemotherapy, radiotherapy and surgical resection improves survival rates, although the prognosis remains poor, among patients with advanced STAD (3). Currently, biomarker-based methods such as tumour risk score prediction signatures are used to predict patient prognosis, and this is being gradually applied in clinical practice. Therefore, it is essential to establish prognostic markers to forecast the long-term survival of patients with STAD.
The protein solute carrier family seven member (SLC7A11) is responsible for transporting extracellular cystine into the cell and glutamate from the cell to the extracellular environment. Additionally, it plays a crucial role in regulating oxidative stress (4). Unlike healthy cells, cancer cells are highly dependent on cystine intake. SLC7A11 is highly expressed in many cancers, such as breast (5) and lung (6) cancers; this helps cancer cells escape oxidative stress and regulates their metabolism (7). Recently, a new mode of cell death known as disulfidptosis has been identified. This occurs when a large accumulation of disulphide molecules in glucose-deficient cancer cells with high SLC7A11 expression leads to abnormal disulphide bonding between actin cytoskeletal proteins, disrupting their organization and ultimately causing actin network collapse and cell death (8). This indicates that glucose transporter (GLUT) inhibitor-induced disulfidptosis may be exploited in cancer therapy.
Long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) control gene expression through chromatin adaptation, transcription and post-transcriptional processing (9). lncRNAs are closely linked to the development of many cancers and can be used as biomarkers or targeted therapeutics for cancers (10-12). To explore novel therapeutic targets and improve patient prognosis, it is crucial to investigate the relationship between disulfidptosis-related lncRNAs and STAD.
The impact of disulfidptosis-related lncRNAs on the existing treatment modalities for STAD warrants investigation. Herein, we used The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database to assess the biological significance of disulfidptosis-related lncRNAs and their potential for prognostic prediction in patients with STAD. We present this article in accordance with the TRIPOD reporting checklist (available at https://tcr.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/tcr-23-2067/rc).
Methods
Data collection and analysis
Using the TCGA database, we obtained clinical and RNA sequencing data from gastric adenocarcinoma patients. After excluding those with incomplete clinical data, our dataset included 407 tissue samples (375 STAD and 32 normal tissues). These samples were randomly split into a training set (n=204) and a test set (n=203). The clinical characteristics between the two sets exhibited no significant differences, as shown in Table 1. Ten genes associated with disulfidptosis were collected by reviewing the available literature (13). Finally, the STAD mutation data were extracted from TCGA database. The study was carried out in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki (as revised in 2013).
Table 1
Variables | Total cohort (n=407), n (%) | Training cohort (n=204), n (%) | Validation cohort (n=203), n (%) | P value |
---|---|---|---|---|
Age (years) | 0.36 | |||
≤65 | 183 (44.96) | 97 (47.55) | 86 (42.36) | |
>65 | 221 (54.3) | 106 (51.96) | 115 (56.65) | |
Unknown | 3 (0.74) | 1 (0.49) | 2 (0.99) | |
Gender | 0.02 | |||
Female | 144 (35.38) | 61 (29.9) | 83 (40.89) | |
Male | 263 (64.62) | 143 (70.1) | 120 (59.11) | |
Grade | 0.83 | |||
G1 | 12 (2.95) | 7 (3.43) | 5 (2.46) | |
G2 | 144 (35.38) | 73 (35.78) | 71 (34.98) | |
G3 | 242 (59.46) | 120 (58.82) | 122 (60.1) | |
Unknown | 9 (2.21) | 4 (1.96) | 5 (2.46) | |
Stage | 0.34 | |||
Stage I | 55 (13.51) | 33 (16.18) | 22 (10.84) | |
Stage II | 122 (29.98) | 59 (28.92) | 63 (31.03) | |
Stage III | 167 (41.03) | 78 (38.24) | 89 (43.84) | |
Stage IV | 39 (9.58) | 21 (10.29) | 18 (8.87) | |
Unknown | 24 (5.9) | 13 (6.37) | 11 (5.42) | |
T stage | 0.32 | |||
T1 | 21 (5.16) | 14 (6.86) | 7 (3.45) | |
T2 | 86 (21.13) | 46 (22.55) | 40 (19.7) | |
T3 | 179 (43.98) | 89 (43.63) | 90 (44.33) | |
T4 | 113 (27.76) | 52 (25.49) | 61 (30.05) | |
Unknown | 8 (1.97) | 3 (1.47) | 5 (2.46) | |
N stage | 0.90 | |||
N0 | 121 (29.73) | 64 (31.37) | 57 (28.08) | |
N1 | 108 (26.54) | 52 (25.49) | 56 (27.59) | |
N2 | 77 (18.92) | 38 (18.63) | 39 (19.21) | |
N3 | 82 (20.15) | 42 (20.59) | 40 (19.7) | |
Unknown | 19 (4.67) | 8 (3.92) | 11 (5.42) | |
M stage | 0.54 | |||
M0 | 362 (88.94) | 183 (89.71) | 179 (88.18) | |
M1 | 26 (6.39) | 11 (5.39) | 15 (7.39) | |
Unknown | 19 (4.67) | 10 (4.9) | 9 (4.43) |
Tumor staging (Stage) is based on the TNM classification, including stages I, II, III, and IV. T, N, M stages represent the tumor, lymph node, and metastasis status, respectively. Data not reported or available are marked as “unknown”. Statistical significance levels are indicated by P values.
Identification of disulfidptosis-related lncRNAs
We analyzed expression data for disulfidptosis-related genes and lncRNAs using Pearson correlations via the ‘limma’ package in R (14). Significant correlations were defined as those with |Cor| >0.4 and P<0.001. Data management was conducted with ‘dplyr’ (15), while ‘ggalluvial’ (16) and ‘ggplot2’ (17) facilitated the creation and visualization of Sankey diagrams to highlight key co-expression links.
Construction of the predictive models and analysis
First, the TCGA STAD prognostic lncRNAs were identified using univariate Cox regression analysis. The ‘glmnet’ package in R was utilized to apply the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method for selecting the most predictive lncRNAs, with 10-fold cross-validation determining the optimal regularization parameter (18). A survival was assigned to each patient based on their disulfidptosis-related lncRNA expression levels and their regression coefficients [risk score = (coef LncRNA1 expr LncRNA1) + (coef LncRNA2 expr LncRNA2)… + (coef LncRNAn × expr LncRNAn)]. The risk score midpoint was used to categorise the specimens. The training set used Kaplan-Meier plots to assess the overall survival (OS) of the high- and low-risk groups (19). The ‘pROC’ package facilitated receiver operating characteristic receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis to evaluate the model’s predictive accuracy (20), while ‘pheatmap’ provided visual insights into the association between lncRNA expression and patient survival (21). Finally, the test and the full set validated the model’s accuracy.
Independent prognostic factor analysis
Univariate and multifactorial Cox regression analyses were performed using the clinical data from TCGA database to evaluate the role of the risk score as an independent predictor. The accuracy of this feature in predicting patient survival was confirmed using ROC curve analysis and concordance index (C-index) curves.
Analysis of the clinical value of the prognostic prediction models
To accurately predict the OS of the patients and provide valid prognostic information for physicians to develop appropriate treatment plans, we constructed a nomogram model based on risk categories, age and clinicopathological variables using the ‘RMS’ package. The model accuracy was evaluated by plotting calibration curves.
Principal component analysis (PCA), Gene Ontology (GO) and Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA) analysis
PCA and 3D PCA analyses were conducted using the ’scatterplot3d’ package for visualization.3D scatter plots illustrated the sample distribution across different risk scores. Differential genes between the high- and low-risk groups were identified using ‘limma’, with criteria of |log2FC| ≥1 and false discovery rate (FDR) <0.05. The ‘clusterProfiler’ package was used for differential gene analysis in the GO and GSEA enrichment studies, and P values <0.05 and FDR values <0.05 were considered statistically significant.
Immune function analysis and tumour mutation burden (TMB)
The ‘limma’ and ‘GSA’ packages were used to analyse the immune-related differences between the high- and low-risk groups, including the tumour microenvironment scores and correlations between risk scores and the tumour immune microenvironment, as demonstrated using the ‘Pheatmap’ package. The ‘Maftools’ package correlates risk scores with the TMB. The survival package compares TMB and patient survival at P<0.05.
Tumour immune dysfunction and exclusion (TIDE) and drug sensitivity
The TIDE score was used to assess the immune checkpoint blockade (ICB) response; this ICB response was used to predict the effectiveness of immunotherapeutic agents in the high- and low-risk patient populations. The therapeutic agents were screened and evaluated for drug sensitivity using P<0.001 as the filtering criterion. The analyses were based on the ‘limma’, ‘pRRophetic’ and ‘ggpubr’ software packages.
Statistical analyses
We conducted Pearson correlation analysis to investigate associations with disulfidptosis-related lncRNAs. Subsequently, we built risk models using univariate Cox regression, Lasso regression, and multivariate Cox regression. Model performance was assessed using timeROC curves and the C-index. All analyses were conducted in R version 4.3.0.
Results
Identification of disulfidptosis-related lncRNAs in STAD
Figure 1A illustrates the schematic diagram of the research process. Based on previously published literature (13), we identified disulfidptosis genes. The transcriptome data of 407 (375 STAD and 32 normal) tissues were retrieved using TCGA database, and STAD-associated lncRNAs were extracted. A total of 694 disulfidptosis-related lncRNAs were screened using the Pearson’s correlation algorithm. Sankey diagrams were used to illustrate the relationship between the disulfidptosis genes and disulfidptosis-related lncRNAs (Figure 1B).
Risk model construction and validation
Fourteen lncRNAs were initially obtained using the uni-Cox regression approach. Subsequently, a risk score model was developed using seven prognosis-related lncRNAs identified using LASSO analysis (Figure 2A-2C). Each line in Figure 2B is color-coded to represent each lncRNA, illustrating the impact of their respective coefficients on the model’s predictive accuracy. The risk score was calculated as follows: risk score = AC016394.2 × (−0.3963) + AL365181.3 × (−0.1314) + AL590617.2 × (0.7516) + DEPDC1-AS1 × (0.8785) + IGFL2-AS1 × (0.1361) + LINC00511 × (−0.4765) + LINC00571 × (−0.7027). The correlation heat map highlighted the relationship between the disulfidptosis-related genes and the seven lncRNAs (Figure 2D).
In the present study, the patients in the high-risk group exhibited significantly shorter OS and disease-free survival rates as compared to those in the low-risk group. The heat map analysis revealed a concentrated distribution of seven lncRNAs in the two risk groups. Specifically, AL590617.2, DEPDC1-AS1 and IGFL2-AS1 were predominantly expressed in the high-risk group, whereas AC016394.2, AL365181.3, LINC00511 and LINC00571 were predominantly expressed in the low-risk group (Figure 3A-3M). To investigate the correlation between the risk scores and survival outcomes in the patients with STAD, we compared the high- and low-risk groups during different periods. Our findings revealed that the survival rate was significantly lower in the high-risk group than in the low-risk group (Figure 3N,3O).
The accuracy of the predictive model risk score was evaluated using ROC curves and the C-index. The areas under the curve (AUCs) for the 1-, 3- and 5-year predictions were 0.669, 0.664 and 0.705, respectively (Figure 4A). The AUC values of the risk scores were more significant than the other clinicopathological variables. The C-index curves also demonstrated that the risk model was more accurate than the other variables (Figure 4B,4C). Furthermore, the hazard ratios (HRs) for the risk scores were 1.323 and 1.361 (P<0.001) in the single and multiple Cox regression analyses, respectively, indicating that risk characteristics are an independent prognostic factor for patients with STAD (Figure 4D,4E).
Nomogram construction
A nomogram was constructed to estimate the likelihood of OS at 1, 3 and 5 years using the risk score, age and clinicopathological factors (Figure 5A). The calibration curves demonstrated a strong correlation between the predicted and actual values (Figure 5B).
PCA and biological pathway analysis
Three-dimensional scatter plots demonstrated that PCA in the high- and low-risk groups exhibited significant aggregation characteristics, indicating that these lncRNAs were persuasive for model construction (Figure 6A-6C). According to the GO analysis, the disulfidptosis-related lncRNA were enriched in muscle system processes, muscle contraction, blood circulation regulation and cardiac contraction regulation (Figure 6D,6E). The GSEA analysis showed that biological functions such as cardiac muscle traction, complement and coagulation cascades, neural activity-receptor interactions, ribosomes and vascular smooth muscle traction differed between the low- and high-risk patient groups (Figure 6F,6G).
Immunoassay
A notable dissimilarity in the infiltration of immune cells was found between the two groups. Furthermore, significant differences were observed in the co-inhibition of the APC cells and antigen presentation mediated by MHC I (Figure 7A,7B). Moreover, high-risk patients had higher TME scores than low-risk patients (Figure 7C).
TMB and drug sensitivity analysis
Waterfall plots were used to demonstrate somatic mutations in both the high- and low-risk groups. The frequency of mutations was found to be higher in the low-risk group than in the high-risk group (Figure 8A,8B). To determine the impact of risk categories on immunotherapy for STAD, we examined the association between the TMB and risk categories. The TMB counts were higher in the low-risk group (Figure 8C), and high TMB was associated with better OS as compared with low TMB (Figure 8D). Moreover, the low-risk group was more susceptible to immune checkpoint inhibitors than the high-risk group (Figure 8E). Using the TIDE algorithm, the response to immunotherapy was predicted in both groups, and the patients in the low-risk group were found to respond better (Figure 9A). Furthermore, analysis of drug sensitivity in high-risk STAD patients identified increased susceptibility to NUAK kinase inhibitor WZ4003, dasatinib, and entinostat (Figure 9B-9D).
Discussion
STAD, a malignant tumour, is highly prevalent worldwide and has a poor prognosis (22). Research has demonstrated that lncRNA plays a regulatory role in the progression of gastric cancer, making it a promising target for the treatment of cancers (23,24). Lin et al. identified lncRNA BC002811 as a promoter of gastric cancer metastasis through decoying SOX2 and inhibiting PTEN transcription (25). Gong et al. showed that LINC01094 promotes gastric cancer by inhibiting AZGP1, lowering PTEN, and activating AKT (26). Moreover, Wang et al. revealed that TUBA1C, targeted by lncRNA EGFR-AS1, promotes gastric cancer progression by enhancing cell proliferation, migration, and invasion (27). Although lncRNAs are important in STAD, the mechanism of its interrelationship is not fully understood.
Disulfidptosis, a new and unique programmed cell death mode, can inhibit GLUT proteins and thus induce disulfidptosis in cancer cells without affecting normal cells. In recent years, researchers have made significant progress in developing models assessing lncRNA risk in various types of cancer (e.g., constructing predictive models of lncRNAs associated with pyroptosis in STAD for clinical treatment) (28,29). However, the mechanism of disulfidptosis-related lncRNAs in STAD is still under investigation.
In this study, seven lncRNAs (AC016394.2, AL365181.3, AL590617.2, DEPDC1-AS1, IGFL2-AS1, LINC00511 and LINC00571) were chosen for building a prediction model of disulfidptosis-related lncRNAs. In previous studies, AC016394.2, AL365181.3 and LINC00571 were used as cuproptosis, ferroptosis and cellular senescence-related lncRNAs, respectively, in bioinformatic analyses for the construction of a predictive model for gastric cancer (30-32). Additionally, DEPDC1-AS1 promoted the expansion and spread of human gastric cancer cells using the human antigen R-F27R pathway (33). Research suggests that IGFL2-AS1 facilitates the advancement and spread of gastric cancer through the miR-802/ARPP19 pathway (34). LINC00511 targets miR-625-5p/STAT3 to increase gastric tumour cell growth and mobility (35). AL590617.2 was analysed for the first time in a gastric cancer study. Subsequently, the patients with STAD were randomly allocated into the training and validation cohorts in a 1:1 ratio to assess the reliability of the risk prediction model. The survival curves indicated that the low-risk group had a more favourable prognosis across the training, validation and full groups. The accuracy of the established risk prediction model was confirmed using the ROC analysis and C-index curves. Accordingly, a nomogram was developed to predict the patients with STAD. The calibration curves demonstrated agreement with the anticipated outcomes. Owing to the complexity of cancer, the molecular pathways driving gastric cancer need to be understood to accordingly develop new therapeutic targets. Therefore, functional enrichment analysis was performed, and novel signalling pathways were identified in this study, which helped identify the disulfidptosis-related genes involved in the aetiology and development of STAD.
Next, we investigated the relationship among the tumour immune microenvironment, TMB and risk score of the patients with STAD. We used the CIBERSORT and ESTIMATE techniques for immunological analysis. The results revealed that the risk score was positively correlated with CD8 cell expression. The ESTIMATE score represents the ratio of the immune and stromal components in the tumour tissue (36), and the ESTIMATE score was found to be particularly high in the high-risk group. In the context of malignancy, TMB serves as a prognostic biomarker for ICB and is associated with the effectiveness of immunotherapy (37-39). This study revealed that the low-risk group had higher TMB levels, suggesting a potential for better response to immunotherapy. Additionally, the TIDE score accurately predicted the response to ICB therapy, with a higher TIDE score indicating a weaker response to ICB (40). Thus, high-risk patients with high TIDE scores are less likely to respond to immunotherapy. Ultimately, the half-maximal inhibitory concentration (IC50) values of WZ4003, entinostat, and dasatinib were determined, showing increased effectiveness in high-risk group patients.
In summary, this study developed a prognostic model for STAD based on seven disulfidptosis-related lncRNAs. The model demonstrated outstanding performance in predicting STAD patients’ survival outcomes. Additionally, it has the potential to assess patients’ immune function, immune checkpoint marker expression, and chemotherapy drug sensitivity. This work lays a strong foundation for future anti-tumor drug development.
Our study has some limitations. First, our data were collected from TCGA database, and the results may be biased. We could have obtained different results if we combined the data from other sources. Second, we did not test the molecular transcription and expression levels, reducing the reliability of the results. In addition, this study is still in its preliminary stages, and the information collected so far may not be sufficient to justify the investigation; future studies are therefore warranted.
Conclusions
Taken together, disulfidptosis-related lncRNAs can act as specific biomarkers for predicting the progression of STAD and provide new insights into targeted therapy for the same. These findings are significant and hold promise for future research in this field.
Acknowledgments
We thank TCGA for the availability of the data.
Funding: None.
Footnote
Reporting Checklist: The authors have completed the TRIPOD reporting checklist. Available at https://tcr.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/tcr-23-2067/rc
Peer Review File: Available at https://tcr.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/tcr-23-2067/prf
Conflicts of Interest: All authors have completed the ICMJE uniform disclosure form (available at https://tcr.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/tcr-23-2067/coif). The authors have no conflicts of interest to declare.
Ethical Statement: The authors are accountable for all aspects of the work in ensuring that questions related to the accuracy or integrity of any part of the work are appropriately investigated and resolved. This study was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki (as revised in 2013).
Open Access Statement: This is an Open Access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 4.0 International License (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0), which permits the non-commercial replication and distribution of the article with the strict proviso that no changes or edits are made and the original work is properly cited (including links to both the formal publication through the relevant DOI and the license). See: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/.
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