The causal effects of 2,821 protein level ratios on non-small cell lung cancer: a two-sample Mendelian randomization study
Highlight box
Key findings
• This study identified causal relationships between 142 protein level ratios and non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Notably, the AKR1B1/SUGT1 and PLPBP/STIP1 protein level ratios were most strongly negatively associated with NSCLC risk, while the ARHGEF12/IRAK4 and BANK1/LBR ratios exhibited the strongest positive correlations with the disease.
What is known and what is new?
• NSCLC presents with a complex etiology, making early diagnosis difficult and contributing to high mortality rates. Previous research has suggested a potential link between protein level ratios and NSCLC, but the causal mechanisms remain unclear.
• This manuscript presented the first large-scale Mendelian randomization analysis of 2,821 protein level ratios, identifying significant causal relationships between specific protein ratios and NSCLC risk. This study offered new insights into the molecular mechanisms of NSCLC, which may be useful for early diagnosis and personalized treatment strategies.
What is the implication, and what should change now?
• The findings suggested that specific protein level ratios could serve as biomarkers for NSCLC risk, with potential applications in early diagnosis and treatment personalization. These results warranted further clinical validation to confirm their applicability in diverse populations. Future studies should explore the development of diagnostic tools and targeted therapies based on these protein level ratios.
Introduction
Non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) significantly threatens global health with its high mortality and low survival rates. In 2024, worldwide lung cancer accounted for 234,580 new cases, or 12.4% of all new cancer diagnoses, and 125,070 deaths, which constituted 18.7% of all cancer-related deaths (1-3). NSCLC, the most common lung cancer type, comprises approximately 85% of all cases, often diagnosed at advanced stages due to subtle early symptoms (3,4).
NSCLC’s etiology is multifaceted, shaped by genetic predispositions, environmental factors, and lifestyle choices, complicating early diagnosis (5). Chemotherapy resistance is common among NSCLC patients, posing additional challenges to treatment (6). The significant variation in genetic background (7), molecular tumor characteristics (8), and clinical manifestations among patients requires personalized treatment approaches, presenting substantial challenges. Despite extensive research, the pathogenesis and chemotherapy resistance mechanisms of NSCLC (6), which involve complex regulatory processes, are still not fully understood (9). This significant knowledge gap highlights the urgency of continued research to devise more effective diagnostic and treatment strategies, aiming to enhance patient outcomes.
In biomedical research, scientists employ methods like mass spectrometry and other quantitative techniques to measure protein levels in diverse samples (10). Calculating the relative abundance of specific proteins allows researchers to establish protein level ratios. These data are crucial for identifying potential biomarkers that uncover diseases’ molecular mechanisms and pathological processes (11). These insights are vital for early diagnosis, prognosis evaluation, and treatment efficacy monitoring.
NSCLC is governed by complex regulatory mechanisms (12). Leveraging protein level ratios enhances our grasp of NSCLC pathophysiology, paving the way for more effective and personalized treatments that improve patient outcomes. Studies have shown that elevated baseline levels of lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) and low levels of C-reactive protein (CRP) are associated with poor progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with advanced NSCLC (13). Additionally, a high baseline neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been identified as a predictor of worse prognosis (14). Research also indicated that elevated baseline CRP levels are not only linked to a higher incidence of immune-related adverse events (irAEs) but are also associated with poorer overall outcomes (15). Furthermore, a retrospective study revealed that histone deacetylase 11 (HDAC11) is significantly overexpressed in NSCLC tumor tissues compared to adjacent non-cancerous tissues, highlighting its role as a critical prognostic biomarker (16). Numerous studies have explored the relationship between protein levels and the etiology of NSCLC, identifying several biomarkers with potential diagnostic, prognostic, or therapeutic implications (17,18). However, the causal relationship between specific protein level ratios and NSCLC remains controversial. These discrepancies arise from several factors, including confounding variables, reverse causality, and limitations of observational study designs. For instance, protein expression can be influenced by underlying inflammation, tumor microenvironment changes, or secondary effects of malignancy, making it challenging to discern whether alterations in protein levels drive cancer progression or merely reflect its presence (19).
Mendelian randomization (MR) offers a robust method to address these challenges by leveraging genetic variants as instrumental variables (IVs) to infer causality (20). Unlike traditional epidemiological approaches, MR minimizes confounding and is less susceptible to reverse causation. Given the limitations of prior studies, applying MR to investigate the causal relationship between protein level ratios and NSCLC could provide novel insights into the underlying biological mechanisms, identify potential therapeutic targets, and refine biomarker strategies for risk stratification and early intervention. We present this article in accordance with the STROBE-MR reporting checklist (available at https://tcr.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/tcr-24-1523/rc).
Methods
Study design
This study uses genetic variants as IVs for MR analysis. The selection of these IVs and the entire research process are illustrated in Figure 1. MR analysis relies on three key assumptions (21): (I) relevance: genetic variants must be strongly associated with the exposure. (II) Independence: variants should be free from confounding variables. (III) Exclusion: variants must influence the outcome solely through the exposure. This study employs a two-sample MR design, utilizing distinct datasets for protein level ratios (exposure) and NSCLC (outcome).

Genome-wide association study (GWAS) data sources for NSCLC
The GWAS statistical data for NSCLC were sourced from version 10 of the Finnish database (22), which integrates genetic and health registry data from 224,737 Finnish participants. Detailed information and the download link can be found in Table 1. NSCLC cases in the FinnGen database are identified by International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes, diagnoses are based on pathological analysis and clinical assessment, and tumor classification is performed using the tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) classification system. Healthy controls for the FinnGen dataset were participants without any recorded cancer diagnoses or significant chronic diseases, as defined by exclusion criteria in their health registry data. In the FinnGen cohort, the clinical characteristics of NSCLC patients included age, sex, smoking history, tumor stage, and histological subtype. Most NSCLC cases were diagnosed at advanced stages, reflecting the typical clinical presentation.
Table 1
Exposure or outcome | Sample size | Ancestry | Links for data download | PMID |
---|---|---|---|---|
NSCLC | 314,193 controls and 5,315 NSCLC cases | FinnGen Project | https://storage.googleapis.com/finngen-public-data-r10/summary_stats/finngen_R10_C3_LUNG_NONSMALL_EXALLC.gz | 36653562 |
Protein level ratios | 2,821 phenotypes | UK Biobank | http://ftp.ebi.ac.uk/pub/databases/gwas/summary_statistics/; GCST90313126–GCST90315946 | 38412862 |
GWAS, genome-wide association study; NSCLC, non-small cell lung cancer.
Protein level ratios GWAS data sources
The GWAS data for protein level ratios were sourced from the UK Biobank (23); details and the download address are listed in Table 1. Utilizing Olink proteomics, data for 1,463 proteins across more than 54,000 UK Biobank samples revealed 4,248 associations involving 2,821 ratios between protein levels [ratio quantitative trait locis (rQTLs)]. For the UK Biobank, controls were selected as participants without diagnosed lung cancer or other malignancies at baseline. The UK Biobank cohort included participants aged 40–69 years, with detailed demographic, clinical, and lifestyle data. Protein levels were quantified by Olink’s proximity extension assay (PEA), and protein level ratios were calculated by comparing the relative abundance of specific proteins.
The study was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki (as revised in 2013). It is important to note that the data used in this study were derived exclusively from the GWAS summary level. Ethical approval and informed consent were obtained for the use of this data during the initial investigations.
Selection of IVs
To ensure high-quality results, we implemented rigorous quality control procedures to screen type IV genes aligned with MR assumptions. For IVs with protein level ratios, we selected IVs with P values less than 1.0×10−5. Our methodology included using a linkage disequilibrium clustering algorithm with R2<0.001 and a window size of 10,000 kb. To ensure consistency of effector alleles, we harmonized exposure and outcome datasets by removing single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) with intermediate allele frequencies and those with inconsistent alleles. We calculated the F-statistic for each SNP using: F = (R2 × (n − k − 1)) / (k × (1 − R2)), where R2 represents the proportion of variations explained by the IV (24). Given that the F-statistic for all SNPs exceeded 10, indicating strong instruments, only SNPs passing strict screening will be used as IVs in future analyses. N denotes the sample size, and K is the number of SNPs analyzed. We utilized the PhenoScanner website to check for potential confounders linked to the SNPs and found none. The SNPs that have undergone rigorous statistical analysis and significance threshold screening are shown in table available at https://cdn.amegroups.cn/static/public/tcr-24-1523-1.xlsx.
Statistical analysis
All analyses were conducted using R software, version 4.3.0, available at R project. To assess causal relationships between 2,821 protein level ratios and NSCLC, we employed five methods from the ‘TwoSampleMR’ package: inverse variance weighting (IVW), weighted median, simple mode, MR-Egger, and weighted mode. For all statistical analyses, P values less than 0.05 were considered statistically significant. We used Cochran’s Q statistic (25) and corresponding p-values to assess heterogeneity among the IVs. The MR-Egger method (26) was used to detect horizontal pleiotropy, signaled by a statistically significant intercept term. Furthermore, the MR pleiotropy residual sum and outlier (MR-PRESSO) method (27) from the same package identified and excluded potential horizontal pleiotropic outliers that could significantly affect the results. Scatter plots and funnel plots were generated to validate the findings. The scatter plots confirmed no impact from outliers, and the funnel plots highlighted the robustness of the correlations and the uniformity of data (28).
Results
In this study, we employed the two-sample MR analysis to examine the random causal relationships between 2,821 protein level ratios and NSCLC, exploring the potential influence of these ratios on the development of the cancer. We utilized five analytical methods: MR-Egger, weighted median, inverse variance weighted, simple mode, and weighted mode. After comprehensive statistical analysis and finding P values less than 0.05 via the IVW mainstream statistical method, we identified 142 Protein level ratios that significantly affected NSCLC (details in table available at https://cdn.amegroups.cn/static/public/tcr-24-1523-2.xlsx). Each of the SNP’s phenotypes associated with these 142 protein level ratios had an F-value greater than 10, indicating that the IVs were strongly valid (details in table available at https://cdn.amegroups.cn/static/public/tcr-24-1523-1.xlsx). Subsequently, we ranked the OR values from the IVW analysis, selecting 10 protein level ratios each with positive and negative correlations to NSCLC, as shown in Figure 2. The AKR1B1/SUGT1 protein level ratio [odds ratio (OR) =0.685; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.490–0.958; P=0.03] and the PLPBP/STIP1 protein level ratio (OR =0.762; 95% CI: 0.601–0.968; P=0.03) exhibited the strongest negative correlations with NSCLC risk. Conversely, the ARHGEF12/IRAK4 protein level ratio (OR =1.456; 95% CI: 1.041–2.038; P=0.03) and the BANK1/LBR protein level ratio (OR =1.431; 95% CI: 1.053–1.944; P=0.02) showed the strongest positive correlations. These findings were consistent across all five analytical methods, as illustrated in the SNP scatter plot in Figure 3. Figures S1-S4 demonstrated the stability of the ratios of the four protein levels through forest plots, scatter plots, and funnel plots.


The MR-Egger regression intercept method and MR-PRESSO analysis showed no horizontal pleiotropy in the MR study (P>0.05; table available at https://cdn.amegroups.cn/static/public/tcr-24-1523-2.xlsx for details). Cochran’s Q test, MR-Egger, and inverse variance weighted methods were used to test the heterogeneity of SNPs in the analysis results (table available at https://cdn.amegroups.cn/static/public/tcr-24-1523-2.xlsx for details). The results of the “leave-one-out” analysis demonstrated the reliability of the MR analysis (the null line was not within the total CI of the SNPs; table available at https://cdn.amegroups.cn/static/public/tcr-24-1523-3.xlsx for details). The above sensitivity analyses all demonstrated the stability of our results.
Discussion
AKR1B1 is an enzyme belonging to the aldo-keto reductase superfamily, it catalyzes the reduction of aldehydes and ketones and is expressed in various tissues (29). AKR1B1 has been found to be abnormally expressed in many tumor types, playing a significant role in cancer initiation, progression, and drug resistance (30). Study has found that AKR1B1 helps breast cancer cells survive under oxidative stress by regulating cellular redox status and antioxidant defense mechanisms (31). Research indicated that inhibiting AKR1B1 activity can reduce the growth and invasion capabilities of colon cancer cells (32). SUGT1 is a highly conserved nuclear protein involved in spindle function and essential for the G1/S and G2/M transitions of the cell cycle, it plays a crucial role in cell cycle transitions and muscle regeneration (33). Studies show that SUGT1 expression is typically higher in colorectal cancer tissues than in non-tumor tissues, and its overexpression is associated with higher recurrence rates and poorer prognosis (34). Current research data do not directly address the role or significance of SUGT1 in NSCLC. Our research indicated that the AKR1B1/SUGT1 protein level ratio was negatively correlated with the risk of NSCLC, suggesting that a decrease in SUGT1 protein levels relative to AKR1B1 protein levels may reduce the risk of NSCLC. This finding provides a new perspective for the diagnosis and treatment of NSCLC.
PLPBP is a protein that binds pyridoxal phosphate (PLP). PLP, the active form of vitamin B6, is involved in various enzyme-catalyzed reactions, affecting the metabolism of amino acids and keto acids, which are crucial for maintaining metabolic balance in the body (35). Researchers have discovered that highly active PLP can directly transfer from donors to receptors, a process involved in numerous reactions related to cancerous changes, including those associated with disease prognosis (35,36). According to The Human Protein Atlas, data on PLPBP expression in cancer reveal that PLPBP is expressed in the cytoplasm across all tissues, with variations in expression patterns depending on the type and stage of cancer (37). STIP1 protein is an adaptor protein that coordinates the functions of molecular chaperones HSP70 and HSP90 during protein folding, aiding in the proper folding and stability of proteins (38). STIP1 is involved in signaling pathways related to cell growth and death, supporting tumor cell survival, enhancing migration and invasion capabilities, and participating in resistance mechanisms to anticancer drugs (39). Research has shown that STIP1 promotes gastric cancer metastasis via the Wnt/β-catenin signaling pathway (40). Other studies have identified STIP1’s role in driving tumor cell metastasis through various biological processes and pathways, including potential regulation of lung adenocarcinoma proliferation and migration via the JAK2/STAT3 pathway (41). Currently, there are no reports on the PLPBP/STIP1 protein level ratio in tumors. We proposed that this ratio is negatively correlated with the risk of NSCLC, suggesting that higher PLPBP expression relative to STIP1 may reduce the risk of NSCLC. This hypothesis warranted further experimental and clinical research.
ARHGEF12 plays a crucial role in cellular signal transduction. It primarily functions by binding to G proteins and activating RhoA GTPase, thus regulating cell morphology and mobility (42). Expressed in various tissues including the brain, liver, and lungs, ARHGEF12 is also associated with diseases such as acute myeloid leukemia (AML) and large cell neuroendocrine carcinoma of the lung (43). A study suggested that targeting ARHGEF12 can promote differentiation in neuroblastoma, reduce MYCN protein levels, and decrease tumor malignancy (44). IRAK4 is a serine/threonine protein kinase that plays a crucial role in initiating innate immune responses, it signals through Toll-like receptors (TLRs) and IL-1 receptor pathways, aiding in pathogen recognition and the initiation of inflammatory responses (45). Deficiencies in IRAK4 can lead to immune deficiencies, increasing susceptibility to infections (46). Research indicated that IRAK4 often participates in pathways activated by the MYD88-L265P mutation, common in activated B-cell-like diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (ABC-DLBCL) and marginal zone lymphoma (47). Inhibitors targeting IRAK4, such as emavusertib (CA-4948), have shown potential in preclinical models of ABC-DLBCL (47). Studies have shown that IRAK4’s involvement in the TLR pathway plays a role in the abnormal immune signaling observed in myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) and AML (48). Activation of these pathways can affect disease progression and treatment responses. Experiments involving mice exposed to smoke via a smoke machine suggested that carcinogens in smoke lead to increased IL-1β and overexpression of IRAK4 in lung tissue (49). IRAK4 inhibitors have been shown to reduce the invasiveness of lung cancer cell lines, indicating IRAK4 as a potential target for lung cancer treatment. Both ARHGEF12 and IRAK4 have been studied in lung cancer and other tumors. Our research showed that an increase in the ARHGEF12/IRAK4 protein level ratio is associated with a higher risk of developing NSCLC, suggesting this ratio as a potential new target for NSCLC.
BANK1 is a protein primarily expressed in B cells. It plays a critical role in B cell receptor signaling, CD40-related signaling, TLR signaling, and the release of calcium ions from intracellular stores triggered by B cell receptor activation (50). Mutations in the BANK1 gene are associated with diseases such as systemic lupus erythematosus (51), underscoring the protein’s crucial role in immune regulation and disease development. Some research has explored the tumor-suppressive role of BANK1 in precursor B-cell acute lymphoblastic leukemia (52), although overall, its study in other tumors remains limited. Lamin B receptor (LBR) protein is located on the inner side of the nuclear membrane and anchors nuclear lamina and heterochromatin, helping to maintain the structural integrity of the nucleus, Additionally, LBR protein possesses Δ14-sterol reductase activity, participating in the biosynthesis of cholesterol. Mutations in the LBR gene are associated with genetic disorders such as Greenberg skeletal dysplasia and Pelger-Huet anomaly (53). Therefore, LBR protein plays a crucial role in maintaining nuclear structure, regulating gene expression, and its association with certain genetic disorders. Research indicated that the absence of LBR in colorectal cancer cells led to chromosomal instability and tumorigenesis (54). Currently, there is no research linking LBR to the development of NSCLC. Our research showed that the BANK1/LBR protein level ratio is positively correlated with the risk of developing NSCLC, potentially providing a new target for diagnosis and treatment.
Our MR analysis indicated that 142 protein level ratios influence NSCLC. Due to space limitations in the paper, we only discussed the four most impactful ratios, leaving the data on other ratios available for further research by other scholars.
Conclusions
In conclusion, this two-sample MR study investigated the impact of protein level ratios on NSCLC genetically, identifying 142 protein level ratios that significantly influence NSCLC. This finding has not been reported in previous studies. From a genomics perspective, these findings offer a new perspective on potential therapeutic targets for NSCLC and support personalized treatment strategies for the disease.
Acknowledgments
We thank the FinnGen research project for developing and curating their data resources of GWAS and we also thank Karsten Suhre for providing protein level ratios GWAS Data Sources for our analyses. We thank all of the participants in this study for their contributions.
Footnote
Reporting Checklist: The authors have completed the STROBE-MR reporting checklist. Available at https://tcr.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/tcr-24-1523/rc
Peer Review File: Available at https://tcr.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/tcr-24-1523/prf
Funding: This study was supported by grants from
Conflicts of Interest: All authors have completed the ICMJE uniform disclosure form (available at https://tcr.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/tcr-24-1523/coif). The authors have no conflicts of interest to declare.
Ethical Statement: The authors are accountable for all aspects of the work in ensuring that questions related to the accuracy or integrity of any part of the work are appropriately investigated and resolved. The study was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki (as revised in 2013). It is important to note that the data used in this study were derived exclusively from the GWAS summary level. Ethical approval and informed consent were obtained for the use of this data during the initial investigations.
Open Access Statement: This is an Open Access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 4.0 International License (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0), which permits the non-commercial replication and distribution of the article with the strict proviso that no changes or edits are made and the original work is properly cited (including links to both the formal publication through the relevant DOI and the license). See: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/.
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